AMR Could Surpass Cancer as Leading Cause of Death by 2050

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is globally recognized as one of the greatest health threats of the 21st century, responsible for 1.27 million deaths annually. “According to the WHO, if no measures are taken promptly, AMR could lead to more deaths than cancer by 2050,” said Arnaud Marchant, MD, PhD, director of the European Plotkin Institute for Vaccinology at Université libre de Bruxelles (EPIV-ULB), Anderlecht, Belgium, in an interview with MediQuality, part of the Medscape Professional Network. “This is a huge problem, and vaccination could be part of the solution.”

EPIV-ULB marked the start of the World AMR Awareness Week (November 18-24) with an event highlighting the critical role of vaccination to counter the rise for resistant pathogens. During the event, MediQuality interviewed Marchant, along with several other experts in the field.

Antibiotics Losing Effectiveness

Marc Van Ranst, PhD, virologist at Rega Institute KU Leuven in Leuven, Belgium, echoed Marchant’s concerns. He noted that “an increasing number of bacteria are becoming resistant to more antibiotics.” “While antibiotics were once miracle drugs, they have now stopped — or almost stopped — working against certain bacteria. Although we are discovering more effective therapies, bacterial infections are increasingly likely to worsen due to AMR.”

Van Ranst issued a stark warning: “If this trend continues, it is entirely reasonable to predict that in 25 years, some antibiotics will become useless, certain bacterial infections will be much harder to treat, and deaths will outnumber those caused by cancer. It’s worth noting, however, that as cancer treatments improve, cancer-related deaths are expected to decline, further highlighting the growing burden of AMR-related fatalities.”

Viruses, Vaccines, and Resistance

Van Ranst emphasized that while AMR primarily involves bacteria, viral infections and vaccination against them also play a role in addressing the issue. “When vaccines prevent illness, they reduce the need for unnecessary antibiotic use. In the past, antibiotics were frequently prescribed for respiratory infections — typically caused by viruses — leading to misuse and heightened resistance. By preventing viral infections through vaccines, we reduce inappropriate antibiotic prescriptions and, subsequently, AMR.”

Strategic Areas of Focus

To maximize the impact of vaccination in combating AMR, Belgium must prioritize several strategic areas, according to EPIV-ULB. “Expanding vaccination coverage for recommended vaccines is crucial to effectively preventing the spread of resistant pathogens,” said Marchant.

“Innovation and development of new vaccines are also essential, including targeted research into vaccines for infections that are currently unavoidable through other means. Enhancing epidemiological surveillance through national data collection and analysis will further clarify the impact of vaccines on AMR and inform policy decisions.”

EPIV-ULB underscored the importance of educating the public and healthcare professionals. “Public awareness is essential to addressing vaccine hesitancy by providing clear information on the importance of prevention,” Marchant explained. “Healthcare professional training must also improve, encouraging preventive practices and judicious antibiotic use. Furthermore, additional research is necessary to fill data gaps and develop predictive models that can guide vaccine development in the future.”

Role of Vaccination

According to EPIV-ULB, Belgium needs a strengthened national strategy to address AMR effectively. “Complementary solutions are increasingly important as antimicrobials lose efficacy and treatments become more complex,” Marchant said. “Vaccination offers a proactive and effective preventive solution, directly and indirectly reducing the spread of resistant pathogens.”

Vaccines combat AMR through various mechanisms. “They prevent diseases such as pneumococcal pneumonia and meningitis, reducing the need for antibiotics to treat these infections,” Marchant explained. “Additionally, vaccination lowers inappropriate antibiotic use by preventing viral infections, reducing the risk of overprescribing antibiotics in cases where they are unnecessary. Lastly, herd immunity from vaccination slows the circulation of resistant pathogens, limiting their spread.”

Van Ranst urged healthcare professionals to prioritize vaccinating at-risk populations as identified by Belgium’s Superior Health Council. These include the elderly with underlying conditions and pregnant women, especially for influenza vaccines. University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium, also conducts annual vaccination campaigns for its staff, combining flu and COVID vaccines to increase uptake.

A Global Challenge

Marc Noppen, MD, PhD, director of University Hospital Brussels, Brussels, Belgium, emphasized the complexity of AMR as a global issue. “The problem isn’t solely due to human antibiotic use; it also stems from veterinary medicine, plant breeding, and animal husbandry. This is a multifactorial, worldwide issue that requires public awareness. Improved vaccination strategies are one way to address AMR, particularly in this post-COVID era of heightened skepticism toward vaccines,” he explained.

Marie-Lise Verschelden from Pfizer highlighted the need for cooperation across the healthcare sector. “Belgium is fortunate to have a fantastic ecosystem of academics, clinicians, and industry experts. Collaboration, including government involvement, is critical to advancing our efforts. At Pfizer, we continue to develop new vaccines and technologies, and the COVID crisis has reinforced the critical role of vaccination in combating AMR. Through our vaccine portfolio and ongoing developments, we are well-positioned to contribute significantly to this global challenge.”

Elisabeth Van Damme from GSK reiterated that AMR is a global issue requiring joint efforts. “Existing vaccines are underutilized. Vaccination protects against certain infectious diseases, reducing the need for antibiotics. Antibiotics, in turn, are sometimes prescribed incorrectly, especially for viral infections they cannot treat. At GSK, we are already developing new vaccines to meet future needs.”

Vaccination remains a cornerstone in the fight against AMR. As pathogens grow increasingly resistant to antibiotics, coordinated efforts and innovative vaccine development are essential to mitigating this global health crisis.

This story was translated and adapted from MediQuality using several editorial tools, including AI, as part of the process. Human editors reviewed this content before publication.